As the louder members of the right wing media continue to stumble over the reality that Mitt Romney lost his quest for the presidency, concrete data explaining his loss continues to come out. While there are number of variables – i.e. Blacks, single women, Latinos, and gays going out for Obama in droves — regarding the highly contested state of Ohio, it is evident that the Black vote in particular played a deciding factor in President Barack Obama winning the state, and consequently, re-election. Better luck next time, voter suppression.
LUKE FRANS of Resurgent Republic’s fascinating analysis of Ohio exit polling:
Romney won the White vote 58-41 (2008: John McCain won 52-46). Romney won White men 63-36 (2008: McCain won 53-45). Romney won White women at about the same margin as four years ago, 53-46. But the White vote overall was 79 percent of the turnout, down 4 points from 2008 (White men: 3 points; White women: 1 point). The Ohio population is about 84 percent white. Ohio has a low percentage of Hispanic population (3 percent) compared to the national average (17%) and the exit polling had the Hispanic vote at 3 percent, a 1-point decrease from 2008.
Obama made up the margin by turning out the African-American vote, which increased from 11 percent in 2008 to 15 percent yesterday. He won these voters 96-4 and the higher turnout more than made up for any slight movement from his 2008 97-2 margin. What’s more notable, African Americans make up 12 percent of the Ohio population, but they represented a higher share of the electorate yesterday. …
“This resulted in a +8 Democratic turnout advantage in the state. And it’s difficult to overcome that margin, even considering that Romney won independents by 10 points (53-43) — which is a net 18-point swing away from Obama since 2008. … If African American turnout was in line with 2008, Romney would have won Ohio. That’s how both sides truly believed they were narrowly winning Ohio on Election Day.”